World Bank: Moldova’s economy to grow 1.9% in 2026 and 3% in 2027

In its October report, the World Bank forecasts Moldova’s GDP to grow by 1.9% in 2026, 3% in 2027 and 3.2% in 2028. The 2027 figure is slightly above June’s forecast (2.9%) but well below January’s (3.8%).

The economy grew by 2.4% in 2025 and by only 0.6% in the first half of 2026. The main drags are high energy prices, weak external demand and inflationary pressure. The Ministry of Economic Development’s estimates are similar: 1.8% in 2026 and 2.8% in 2027.

The World Bank expects the budget deficit to stay above 4% of GDP in the medium term, while EU-funded public investment could support a recovery.

What it means for you

• Domestic demand stays weak this year — plan sales and hiring cautiously.
• Opportunities lie mainly in EU-funded projects: infrastructure, energy and modernisation.
• The risk of further energy price rises remains — factor it into your 2027 budget.
• Reports — at the World Bank in Moldova.

Source: Bani.md, 08.10.2026